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NASCAR Statistical Advance: Analyzing the Ford EcoBoost 400

Following is a look at some of the top statistical performers at Homestead-Miami Speedway in Homestead, Fla. going into the Ford EcoBoost 400 on Nov. 17. ESPN’s coverage begins at 2 p.m. ET and the race is scheduled for 3 p.m.

 
HOMESTEAD-MIAMI SPECIFIC STATISTICS
1 – Jimmie Johnson (No. 48 Lowe’s Chevrolet)
·        Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 110.3
2013 Rundown
·        Six wins, 16 top fives, 23 top 10s; three poles
·        Average finish of 10.7
·        Led 23 races for 1,985 laps
Homestead-Miami Speedway Outlook:
·        Four top fives, seven top 10s; two poles
·        Average finish of 15.3 in 12 races
·        Average Running Position of 13.8, ninth-best
·        Driver Rating of 95.1, sixth-best
·        62 Fastest Laps Run, 13th-most
·        1,533 Laps in the Top 15 (71.7%), fifth-most
·        339 Quality Passes (passes of cars in the top 15 under green), fifth-most
2 – Matt Kenseth (No. 20 Dollar General Toyota)
·        Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 110.0
2013 Rundown
·        Seven wins, 11 top fives, 19 top 10s; two poles
·        Average finish of 12.4
·        Led 25 races for 1,639 laps
Homestead-Miami Speedway Outlook:
·        One win, three top fives, five top 10s
·        Average finish of 17.6 in 13 races
·        Average Running Position of 9.3, third-best
·        Driver Rating of 106.0, third-best
·        84 Fastest Laps Run, ninth-most
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 162.167 mph, third-fastest
·        1,717 Laps in the Top 15 (80.3%), second-most
·        328 Quality Passes, ninth-most
 
3 – Kevin Harvick (No. 29 Budweiser Chevrolet)
·        Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 95.0
2013 Rundown
·        Four wins, nine top fives, 20 top 10s; one pole
·        Average finish of 11.2
·        Led 11 races for 261 laps
Homestead-Miami Speedway Outlook:
·        Five top fives, 10 top 10s
·        Average finish of 7.9 in 12 races
·        Average Running Position of 10.6, fourth-best
·        Driver Rating of 100.1, fourth-best
·        68 Fastest Laps Run, 11th-most
·        561 Green Flag Passes, 13th-most
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 162.022 mph, fourth-fastest
·        1,607 Laps in the Top 15 (75.2%), third-most
·        339 Quality Passes, fifth-most
4 – Kyle Busch (No. 18 M&M’s Toyota)
·        Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 101.7
2013 Rundown
·        Four wins, 16 top fives, 21 top 10s; three poles
·        Average finish of 12.9
·        Led 20 races for 1,227 laps
Homestead-Miami Speedway Outlook:
·        One top five, two top 10s
·        Average finish of 23.1 in eight races
·        Average Running Position of 15.8, 15th-best
·        Driver Rating of 91.5, eighth-best
·        104 Fastest Laps Run, third-most
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 161.869 mph, eighth-fastest
·        1,321 Laps in the Top 15 (61.8%), ninth-most
·        329 Quality Passes, eighth-most
5 – Dale Earnhardt Jr. (No. 88 National Guard Chevrolet)
·        Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 97.8
2013 Rundown
·        Nine top fives, 21 top 10s; two poles
·        Average finish of 12.9
·        Led 14 races for 314 laps
Homestead-Miami Speedway Outlook:
·        One top 10
·        Average finish of 22.1 in 13 races
·        Average Running Position of 20.8, 22nd-best
·        Driver Rating of 71.2, 22nd-best
·        93 Fastest Laps Run, seventh-most
·        742 Green Flag Passes, second-most
6 – Jeff Gordon (No. 24 Axalta Coating Systems Chevrolet)
·        Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 92.2
2013 Rundown
·        One win, eight top fives, 17 top 10s; two poles
·        Average finish of 14.5
·        Led 17 races for 434 laps
Homestead-Miami Speedway Outlook:
·        One win, seven top fives, 11 top 10s
·        Average finish of 10.6 in 14 races
·        Average Running Position of 13.0, seventh-best
·        Driver Rating of 95.8, fifth-best
·        85 Fastest Laps Run, eighth-most
·        573 Green Flag Passes, 12th-most
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 161.880 mph, sixth-fastest
·        1,499 Laps in the Top 15 (70.1%), sixth-most
·        390 Quality Passes, second-most
7 – Greg Biffle (No. 16 3M Fan Appreciation Ford)
·        Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 83.3
2013 Rundown
·        One win, four top fives, 13 top 10s
·        Average finish of 14.1
·        Led 7 races for 124 laps
Homestead-Miami Speedway Outlook:
·        Three wins, four top fives, five top 10s
·        Average finish of 14.4 in 11 races
·        Average Running Position of 15.2, 13th-best
·        Driver Rating of 91.0, ninth-best
·        101 Fastest Laps Run, fourth-most
·        680 Green Flag Passes, third-most
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 161.879 mph, seventh-fastest
·        1,223 Laps in the Top 15 (57.2%), 12th-most
8 – Clint Bowyer (No. 15 5-hour ENERGY Toyota)
·        Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 93.5
2013 Rundown
·        Nine top fives, 18 top 10s
·        Average finish of 12.1
·        Led 11 races for 354 laps
Homestead-Miami Speedway Outlook:
·        Two top fives, four top 10s
·        Average finish of 12.1 in seven races
·        Average Running Position of 12.0, fifth-best
·        Driver Rating of 92.2, seventh-best
·        605 Green Flag Passes, eighth-most
·        1,346 Laps in the Top 15 (72.0%), eighth-most
·        365 Quality Passes, fourth-most
9 – Joey Logano (No. 22 Shell Pennzoil Ford)
·        Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 92.1
2013 Rundown
·        One win, 11 top fives, 18 top 10s; two poles
·        Average finish of 14.3
·        Led 15 races for 323 laps
Homestead-Miami Speedway Outlook:
·        One pole
·        Average finish of 24.0 in four races
·        Average Running Position of 22.2, 24th-best
·        Driver Rating of 64.3, 27th-best
10 – Kurt Busch (No. 78 Furniture Row/Wonder Bread Chevrolet)
·        Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 93.5
2013 Rundown
·        11 top fives, 16 top 10s; one pole
·        Average finish of 14.5
·        Led 14 races for 444 laps
Homestead-Miami Speedway Outlook:
·        One win, four top fives, five top 10s; two poles
·        Average finish of 19.8 in 12 races
·        Average Running Position of 23.8, 29th-best
·        Driver Rating of 71.7, 21st-best
·        78 Fastest Laps Run, 10th-most
11 – Ryan Newman (No. 39 Quicken Loans Chevrolet)
·        Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 81.9
2013 Rundown
·        One win, six top fives, 18 top 10s; two poles
·        Average finish of 16.0
·        Led 16 races for 128 laps
Homestead-Miami Speedway Outlook:
·        One top five, four top 10s
·        Average finish of 17.0 in 11 races
·        Average Running Position of 13.6, eighth-best
·        Driver Rating of 85.7, 13th-best
·        581 Green Flag Passes, 10th-most
·        1,381 Laps in the Top 15 (64.6%), seventh-most
·        373 Quality Passes, third-most
12 – Kasey Kahne (No. 5 Farmers Insurance Chevrolet)
·        Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 96.7
2013 Rundown
·        Two wins, 11 top fives, 14 top 10s
·        Average finish of 16.3
·        Led 10 races for 677 laps
Homestead-Miami Speedway Outlook:
·        One top five, four top 10s; two poles
·        Average finish of 15.4 in nine races
·        Average Running Position of 12.5, sixth-best
·        Driver Rating of 90.2, 10th-best
13 – Carl Edwards (No. 99 Fastenal Ford)
·        Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 92.7
2013 Rundown
·        Two wins, nine top fives, 16 top 10s; two poles
·        Average finish of 13.6
·        Led 16 races for 524 laps
Homestead-Miami Speedway Outlook:
·        Two wins, five top fives, seven top 10s; two poles
·        Average finish of 6.0 in nine races
·        Series-best Average Running Position of 7.1
·        Series-best Driver Rating of 119.0
·        Series-high 264 Fastest Laps Run
·        Series-best Average Green Flag Speed of 162.674 mph
·        Series-high 1,881 Laps in the Top 15 (88.0%)
Chase Contenders
The Top 13
Following Race 35 of 36 / Chase Race #9
                                                                           Rank    Season
                                                                           Last     Driver
Driver Points Wins Poles Week Rating
1. Jimmie Johnson 2,384 6 3 1 110.3
2. Matt Kenseth 2,356 7 2 2 110.0
3. Kevin Harvick 2,350 4 1 3 95.0
4. Kyle Busch 2,327 4 3 4 101.7
5. Dale Earnhardt Jr. 2,321 0 2 5 97.8
6. Jeff Gordon 2,304 1 2 6 92.2
7. Greg Biffle 2,301 1 0 8 83.3
8. Clint Bowyer 2,297 0 0 7 93.5
9. Joey Logano 2,287 1 2 9 92.1
10. Kurt Busch 2,285 0 1 10 93.5
11. Ryan Newman 2,259 1 2 12 81.9
12. Kasey Kahne 2,252 2 0 13 96.7
13. Carl Edwards 2,250 2 2 11 92.7

 

ADDITIONAL DRIVERS
14. Brad Keselowski 1,002 34. Bobby Labonte 412
15. Jamie McMurray 993 35. AJ Allmendinger 402
16. Martin Truex Jr. 958 36. David Stremme 362
17. Paul Menard 944 37. Michael McDowell 209
18. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 887 38. Timmy Hill 190
19. Jeff Burton 885 39. Michael Waltrip 114
20. Aric Almirola 885 40. Ken Schrader 108
21. Juan Pablo Montoya 868 41. Scott Speed 99
22. Marcos Ambrose 854 42. Terry Labonte 87
23. Denny Hamlin 706 43. Boris Said 48
24. Casey Mears 703 44. Ron Fellows 31
25. David Gilliland 631 45. Alex Kennedy 21
26. Mark Martin 624 46. Justin Marks 14
27. Danica Patrick 622 47. Scott Riggs 11
28. David Ragan 617 48. Victor Gonzalez Jr 10
29. Tony Stewart 594 49. Brian Keselowski 9
30. Dave Blaney 520 50. Tomy Drissi 8
31. Travis Kvapil 489 51. Jacques Villeneuve 3
32. JJ Yeley 460 52. Jason Leffler 1
33. David Reutimann 452
Note: The first 26 races of the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series season determine which 12 drivers qualify for the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup, contested over the final 10 races of the season. After race No. 26, the top 10 earn a berth in the Chase. Spots 11 and 12 – the Wild Cards – will go to those drivers outside the top 10 with the most wins, provided they are in the top 20. This year, special circumstances resulted in the inclusion of a 13th driver, Jeff Gordon.

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series 2013 Top 13 at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Rank Driver Races Poles Wins Top Fives Top 10s DNFs Average Finish Driver Rating
1 Jimmie Johnson 12 2 0 4 7 2 15.3 95.1
2 Matt Kenseth 13 0 1 3 5 2 17.6 106.0
3 Kevin Harvick 12 0 0 5 10 0 7.9 100.1
4 Kyle Busch 8 0 0 1 2 2 23.1 91.5
5 Dale Earnhardt Jr. 13 0 0 0 1 1 22.1 71.2
6 Jeff Gordon 14 0 1 7 11 1 10.6 95.8
7 Greg Biffle 11 0 3 4 5 2 14.4 91.0
8 Clint Bowyer 7 0 0 2 4 0 12.1 92.2
9 Joey Logano 4 1 0 0 0 1 24.0 64.3
10 Kurt Busch 12 2 1 4 5 2 19.8 71.7
11 Ryan Newman 11 0 0 1 4 2 17.0 85.7
12 Kasey Kahne 9 2 0 1 4 1 15.4 90.2
13 Carl Edwards 9 2 2 5 7 0 6.0 119.0

 

* – Based on last eight races at Homestead-Miami Speedway (2005-2012).
Homestead-Miami Speedway:
History
·        Groundbreaking for Homestead-Miami Dade Motorsports Complex – as the track was originally named – began Aug. 24, 1993.
·        The first race held at Homestead-Miami Speedway was a NASCAR Nationwide Series event on Nov. 5, 1995 – won by NASCAR Hall of Famer Dale Jarrett.
·        The original configuration was a four-turn, rectangular oval based on Indianapolis Motor Speedway’s layout.
·        The first NASCAR Sprint Cup Series race at HMS was held on Nov. 14, 1999 – won by Tony Stewart.
·        2002 was the first season of the “Championship Weekend” at HMS, with all three of NASCAR’s national series holding their season finale at the same track.
Homestead-Miami Speedway Data
Season Race #: 36 of 36 (11-17-13)
Chase Race #: 10
Track Size: 1.5-mile
Banking/Turn 1 & 2: 18-20 degrees
Banking/Turn 3 & 4: 18-20 degrees
Banking/Frontstretch: 4 degrees
Banking/Backstretch: 4 degrees
Frontstretch Length: 1,760 feet
Backstretch Length: 1,760 feet
Race Length: 267 laps / 400.5 miles
Top 13 Driver Ratings at Homestead
Carl Edwards………………… 119.0
Martin Truex Jr……………… 110.8
Matt Kenseth……………….. 106.0
Kevin Harvick……………….. 100.1
Jeff Gordon……………………. 95.8
Jimmie Johnson……………… 95.1
Clint Bowyer………………….. 92.2
Kyle Busch…………………… 91.5
Greg Biffle…………………….. 91.0
Kasey Kahne…………………. 90.2
Tony Stewart…………………. 89.7
Denny Hamlin………………… 88.8
Ryan Newman……………….. 85.7
Note: Driver Ratings compiled from 2005-2012 races (eight total) among active drivers at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
Qualifying/Race Data
2012 pole winner: Joey Logano, Toyota, 176.056 mph, 30.672 secs. 11-16-12
 
2012 race winner: Jeff Gordon, Chevrolet, 142.245 mph, (02:48:56), 11-18-12
 
Track qualifying record: Jamie McMurray, Dodge, 181.111 mph, 29.816 secs. 11-14-03
 
Track race record: Jeff Gordon, Chevrolet, 142.245 mph, (2:48:56), 11-18-12
Notebook
·        Since the inception of the position-based points system in 1975, only four drivers have made up a points deficit in the season finale: Richard Petty in 1979 (made up two points on Darrell Waltrip), Alan Kulwicki in 1992 (made up 30 points on Davey Allison), Jimmie Johnson in 2010 (made up 15 points on Denny Hamlin) andTony Stewart in 2011 (made up three points on Carl Edwards). Note: Stewart’s comeback is the only one made under the current one-point-per-position structure.
·        There have been 14 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series races at Homestead-Miami Speedway, one per season since 1999.
·        110 drivers have competed in at least one NASCAR Sprint Cup race at HMS; 87 in more than one.
·        Four drivers have started all 14 NASCAR Sprint Cup races at HMS: Jeff Burton, Jeff Gordon, Tony Stewartand Bobby Labonte.
·        David Green won the first Coors Light pole at Homestead in 1999 with a speed of 155.759 mph (34.669 sec.).
·        There have been 10 different Coors Light pole winners, led by Kurt Busch, Carl Edwards, Jimmie Johnson andKasey Kahne with two each.
·        Youngest HMS pole winner: Joey Logano (11/18/2012 – 22 years, 5 months, 25 days).
·        Oldest HMS pole winner: Bill Elliott (11/11/2001 – 46 years, 1 month, 3 days).
·        Jamie McMurray (November 2003) and David Reutimann (November 2008) won their first career Coors Light poles at HMS.
·        There have been nine different NASCAR Sprint Cup race winners at HMS, three have won more than once, led byGreg Biffle and Tony Stewart with three each. Carl Edwards (two)is the only other driver with multiple wins at Homestead.
·        Of the three drivers with multiple wins at HMS, Tony Stewart is the only driver to win in two different manufacturers: Pontiac (1999, 2000) and Chevrolet (2011).
·        Two of the 14 (14.2%) NASCAR Sprint Cup races at HMS have been won from the Coors Light pole: Bill Elliott(2001) and Kurt Busch (2002).
·        Five of the 14 (35.7%) NASCAR Sprint Cup races at HMS have been won from the front row: two from the pole and three from second place.
·        Nine of the 14 (64.2%) NASCAR Sprint Cup races at HMS have been won from a starting position inside the top 10.
·        Denny Hamlin won the 2009 race from the 38th-place starting position, the furthest back a race winner has started.
·        Two drivers have won consecutive races at HMS: Tony Stewart (1999, 2000 and 2012) and Greg Biffle (2004-2006).
·        Carl Edwards leads the series in average finish at HMS with a 6.0; only two other drivers have an average finish inside the top 10: Kevin Harvick (7.9) and Martin Truex Jr. (9.8).
·        Roush Fenway Racing leads the series in wins at HMS with seven, followed by Joe Gibbs Racing with four.
·        Youngest HMS winner: Kurt Busch (11/17/2002 – 24 years, 3 months, 13 days).
·        Oldest HMS winner: Bill Elliott (11/11/2001 – 46 years, 1 month, 3 days).
·        Jimmie Johnson and Kevin Harvick lead the series in runner-up finishes at HMS with two each.
·        Jeff Gordon leads the series in top-five finishes at HMS with seven; followed by Carl Edwards and Kevin Harvick with five each.
·        Eight of the nine NASCAR Sprint Cup drivers who have won at HMS participated in at least two or more races before visiting Victory Lane. Tony Stewart (1999) is the only driver to win at the track in his first appearance.
·        Jeff Gordon competed at HMS 13 times before winning (2012); the longest span of any the nine winners.
·        Bobby Labonte and Jeff Burton lead the series with the most NASCAR Sprint Cup starts at HMS without visiting Victory Lane with 14.
·        Since the advent of electronic scoring the closest margin of victory in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at HMS is the (4/10/2010) race won by Greg Biffle with a MOV of 0.017 seconds.
·        Danica Patrick will have the opportunity to become the first female driver to compete in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at HMS this weekend.
NASCAR in Florida
·        There have been 173 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series races among eight tracks in Florida.
Track Name
City
NSCS
Daytona International Speedway
Daytona Beach
133
Homestead-Miami Speedway
Homestead
14
Daytona Beach & Road Course
Daytona Beach
10
Palm Beach Speedway
West Palm Beach
7
Speedway Park
Jacksonville
6
Five Flags Speedway
Pensacola
1
Golden Gate Speedway
Tampa
1
Titusville-Cocoa Speedway
Titusville
1
·        170 drivers in NASCAR national series history have their home state recorded as Florida.
·        There have been 10 race winners from Florida in NASCAR’s three national series.
Driver
NSCS
NNS
NCWTS
Fireball Roberts
33
0
0
LeeRoy Yarbrough
14
0
0
Marshall Teague
7
0
0
Joe Nemechek
4
16
0
Bobby Johns
2
0
0
David Reutimann
2
1
1
Shorty Rollins
1
0
0
Rick Wilson
0
2
0
Aric Almirola
0
1
2
Joey Coulter
0
0
1
Chase For The NASCAR Sprint Cup: Homestead-Miami Speedway
·        Homestead-Miami Speedway has been a part of the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup since the playoffs’ inception in 2004. This season the track will host its 10th Chase event.
·        The winner of the Homestead-Miami Speedway Chase race has gone on to win the championship during the Chase era once: Tony Stewart (2011).
·        Greg Biffle leadsthe series in Chase race wins at HMS with three (2004-2006); followed by Carl Edwards with two (2008, 2010).
·        The worst finish in a Chase race by the eventual series champion at HMS is 15th (three times), Tony Stewart in 2005, Jimmie Johnson in 2008 and Brad Keselowski in 2012.
·        Chase Contenders have won seven of the nine previous Chase races at HMS. The only non-Chase contender to win a Homestead-Miami Speedway Chase race was Greg Biffle (2004 and 2006).
·        Four of the 2013 Chase Contenders are former NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Chase race winners at HMS: Greg Biffle (three), Carl Edwards (two), Matt Kenseth and Jeff Gordon (one each).
·        The average Chase race finish by the eventual series champion at HMS is 8.2. In four of the nine previous Chase races at HMS the eventual series champion has finished in the top five.
·        Roush Fenway Racing leads the series in Chase race wins at Homestead-Miami Speedway with six, including five consecutive: Greg Biffle (2004-2006), Matt Kenseth (2007) and Carl Edwards (2008).
·        Ford leads the series in Chase wins at HMS with six; followed by Chevrolet with two.
·        The most dominant performance by a Chase race winner at HMS is Carl Edward’s victory in 2010. He posted a Perfect Driver Rating of 150.0 and led 190 of the 267 laps (71.1% of his laps completed) – most by a Chase race winner at the track.
·        Clinch Scenario: Jimmie Johnson has to finish better than 23rd without leading a lap, 24th or better while leading a lap, and 25th or better while leading the most laps.
·        Jimmie Johnson has competed 122 times on 1.5/1.54-mile tracks in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series and has finished worse than 23rd a total of  21 times in his career (17.2%). Of those 21 finishes worse than 23rd-place on 1.5/1.54-mile tracks, four have come at Homestead-Miami Speedway, including each of the last two. Johnson finished 32nd in 2011 and 36th in 2012 at HMS.
·        Matt Kenseth trails Jimmie Johnson by 28 points. In their head to head career, Kenseth has out-pointed Johnson by 28 points…
o   31 of 434 at all NASCAR Sprint Cup point races
o   2 of 35 in 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup point races (8/24 Bristol and 9/7 Richmond)
o   2 of 12 at Homestead-Miami Speedway NASCAR Sprint Cup races (2005 and 2011)
·        Kevin Harvick trails Johnson by 34 points. In their head-to-head career, Harvick has out-pointed Johnson by 35 points (Harvick does not own the tiebreaker)…
o   7 of 433 at all NASCAR Sprint Cup point races
o   1 of 35 in 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup point races (8/18 Michigan)
o   0 of 12 at Homestead-Miami Speedway NASCAR Sprint Cup races (best is 33 points in 2005)
Eventual champion’s points position and point deficit to the standings leader following the ninth Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup race:
Season
Champion
Points Back From Leader
Points Position Following Ninth Chase Race
Points Ahead Of Second-Place
2004
Kurt Busch
0
1st
18
2005
Tony Stewart
0
1st
52
2006
Jimmie Johnson
0
1st
63
2007
Jimmie Johnson
0
1st
86
2008
Jimmie Johnson
0
1st
141
2009
Jimmie Johnson
0
1st
108
2010
Jimmie Johnson
-15
2nd
0
2011
Tony Stewart
-3
2nd
0
2012
Brad Keselowski
0
1st
20
Note: 2011 and 2012 are under the current points per finish system

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